ESTIMATION OF REVENUES IN A METROPOLITAN MUNICIPALITY WITH GRAY ESTIMATED GM (1,1) MODEL


Sayim S., Omurbek V.

JOURNAL OF MEHMET AKIF ERSOY UNIVERSITY ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES FACULTY, vol.8, no.3, pp.1782-1805, 2021 (Peer-Reviewed Journal) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 8 Issue: 3
  • Publication Date: 2021
  • Doi Number: 10.30798/makuiibf.978524
  • Journal Name: JOURNAL OF MEHMET AKIF ERSOY UNIVERSITY ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES FACULTY
  • Journal Indexes: Emerging Sources Citation Index
  • Page Numbers: pp.1782-1805
  • Keywords: Municipality, Performance Appraisal, Gray Estimation, GREY PREDICTION

Abstract

Municipalities, one of the important elements of the public sector, are of great importance in meeting the demands of the society. In line with these demands, it is aimed to meet the right needs with minimum expenditure. A strategy is determined as a result of the expenses incurred and the revenues obtained, and a report on financial status and expectations for the upcoming period is prepared. In this study, future revenue estimates will be made by considering the revenues of a metropolitan municipality using the GM (1,1) method. The revenues of the metropolitan municipality for the years 2019-2023; Tax Revenues, Enterprise and Property Revenues, Donations and Aids Received, Other Revenues, Capital Revenues, Collections from Receivables, Rejection and Refunds and Revenue Total were estimated by GM (1.1) method. As a result of the estimation; For the total of Tax Revenues, Enterprise and Property Revenues, Donations and Aids Received, Other Revenues and revenues, there is an increasing trend in the estimated values of 2019-2023 future period. However, there is a decreasing trend in the estimated values of 2019-2023 future period for Capital Incomes.